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Friday, 30 April 2010

CLIFFS LOOKS 2,000 GUINEAS VALUE BET

We have the  1,000 and 2,000 Guineas this weekend and punters have it all to do to work out the first classic winners of the flat season
We start with the boys and the 2,000 Guineas on Saturday where the unbeaten St Nicholas Abbey from the Aidan O’Brien yard is put in as the 6/4 favourite by Sean Graham.
The race was won by superhorse Sea The Stars last year and if any of Saturday’s runners can achieve half of what the John Oxx-trained horse  did, then they will have a great season.
I have concerns for the favourite, though. One is the ground that he will encounter at the weekend, and another is that the all-conquering O’Brien stable has not been firing on all cylinders early-season.
CANFORD CLIFFS is our first suggestion for the weekend and gets a generous 7/1 pricing.
Richard Hannon’s yard has been in great form and  although  Dick Turpin  stole the Greenham from him at Newbury, Richard Hughes reported the horse as “electric” at the weekend and if he reproduces that Coventry Stakes form then he will take some catching at the weekend.
ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL finished off his season last term with a second behind St Nicholas Abbey in the Racing Post Trophy.
 He started this term in breath-taking fashion, winning the Craven Stakes over Saturday’s course and distance and one thing is certain, he will be thereabouts come 3.10 on Saturday. But we think he looks more like Derby material with the mile and a half seeming right up his street.
Lastly, on to our each-way pick and AL ZIR looks way overpriced at 16/1, although that will have gone, I expect, by the time you read this.
The Godolphin runner finished third in that Racing Post Trophy race but prior to that had won his only other two starts with considerable ease and is bred to stay further, so a place beckons for Frankie Dettori.
PG Selections 1. Canford Cliffs 2. Elusive Pimpernel 3. Al Zir.
On to the Sunday and the ladies in the 1,000 Guineas which looks wide-open on the early week betting.
We had a 20/1 upset last year when Ghanaati  sprang a surprise, but we feel  that this year’s 3/1 jolly SPECIAL DUTY has a great chance of winning.
He was beaten on his seasonal debut in France but the Head/Maarek-trained chestnut filly looked  a different class when trouncing a high-class field in the Cheveley Park Stakes over this course in October and looks the one they all have to beat.
Of the dangers, the Marcus Tregoning-trained Rumoush has big claims after winning the Feilden Stakes here last month and she gets a 7/1 pricing.
The each-way bet of the race could be the improving Pipette who won well on his seasonal debut and could run a big race for the Balding/Fortune partnership and is as big as 25/1.
PG Selections: 1. Special Duty 2. Rumoush 3. Pipette

WEEKEND SOCCER

WE’VE HAD some Super Sundays in the Premiership this year but none bigger than this weekend’s games when the league can literally be won or lost.
First up we have leaders CHELSEA taking on LIVERPOOL at Anfield and then we have the champions, MAN UTD, taking on SUNDERLAND at the Stadium of Light.
We start at Anfield and if rumours are to be believed, if Chelsea score on Sunday the Kop will cheer because most of the Red Army will be hoping that Chelsea can outpoint their bitter rivals in the tense run-in. Liverpool are still in the hunt for that fourth and final Champions League spot but will need a minor miracle to grab it and went out of Europe on Thursdy night in the Channel 5 Cup.

Punters Guide Quad
We are taking CHELSEA (1/1) to grab the three points that will put them on the brink of the title at Anfield and they are the first team down in the weekend quad.
MAN CITY (1/1) are still battling Spurs and Aston Villa for that fourth spot and know two home wins in their next two games will all but guarantee them that fourth spot.
The Championship ends this weekend so all games kick-off on Sunday at 1pm.
Who goes down is the big question on Sunday with SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY (5/4) taking on Crystal Palace at Hillsborough and we are taking the Owls to get the win that will ensure Championship football next season.
Making the quad up are MIDDLESBORO (5/2) who will hope to end the season on a high at Leicester, who will have one eye on the play-offs.

Punters Guide FIVEHIT
Straight into the Fivehit and here are five teams this weekend who quite simply need to win for different reasons so we are banking on SWANSEA (1/2), BLACKPOOl (1/2), LEEDS (6/4), MORECAMBE (11/8) and ALDERSHOT (1/2).

Punters Guide XXX
We end with the draw treble and fingers crossed we get a sweat this weekend on this particular bet.
So mark X in the following games: CARLISLE v WALSALL, YEOVIL v OLDHAM and we finish with the HARTLEPOOL v EXETER game.
Remember those doubles and treble – a 10/1 winner come Monday morning is much better than nothing, folks.

28 comments:

  1. What a up and down week I have had - weekend waiting Seville to draw at Getafe.. 87th minute they get an equaliser 3-3 - happy days.. then in the 93rd minute Getafe get a penalty, get two go's at it and win 4-3..
    I hadn't got the nerve to count the £2 (2 from each section bet) up til Tuesday. that late drama at Getafe cost me £2,765.. I would have been blogging from Vegas if that had touched.
    I was back in the winners enclosure on Wednesday backing Pique for first and last goal at 33/1.
    Last night had a fiver on Aquallani at 14/1 for the first goal but was left heartbroken still when York scored in the last minute to thwart a lovely quad that would have paid 28/1.
    This punting game can do that to you and hopefully the next up is this weekend...

    ReplyDelete
  2. What a up and down week I have had - weekend waiting Seville to draw at Getafe.. 87th minute they get an equaliser 3-3 - happy days.. then in the 93rd minute Getafe get a penalty, get two go's at it and win 4-3..
    I hadn't got the nerve to count the £2 (2 from each section bet) up til Tuesday. that late drama at Getafe cost me £2,765.. I would have been blogging from Vegas if that had touched.
    I was back in the winners enclosure on Wednesday backing Pique for first and last goal at 33/1.
    Last night had a fiver on Aquallani at 14/1 for the first goal but was left heartbroken still when York scored in the last minute to thwart a lovely quad that would have paid 28/1.
    This punting game can do that to you and hopefully the next up is this weekend...

    ReplyDelete
  3. Ouch! Anything over 4 figures i would lay off, not that its happened more than once or twice. I suppose its harder to do when your waiting on a draw.
    I was waiting on Drogba to score for chelsea last week for a nice wee bet. Had what i thought was a saver on Anelka. 7-0 they won and neither scored. Ha!

    johnnyboy

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  4. usually would lay off Johnny... but was waiting on three games Sunday night, 2 had won by 9.15.. Seville did not finish to 9.50 but hopefully tides will turn and we get a few last minute goals for us this weekend..
    Glancing at todays cards and looks very difficult but Black Coffee warrants a mention at 8/1 in the last race at Bangor tonight..

    ReplyDelete
  5. Gamblers Anonymous
    Carmichael House
    North Brunswick St.
    Dublin 7
    Republic of Ireland
    00353 245871

    ReplyDelete
  6. Is your ma going to be there again we had so much fun the last time

    your new stepdaddy

    ReplyDelete
  7. but beautiful


    13.40 lingfield


    get on now at 55/1 to be placed


    nap of the week



    petrot chelly

    ReplyDelete
  8. like your style old petrot but old Faithful One looks the bet in this and Qaraqum at 50-1 the e/w bet


    Liam

    ReplyDelete
  9. Liam less of the old.

    You are not old until you reach at least 30 and i have 6 years to go old chap



    Petrot Chelly.

    p.s...i am just passing on the word.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Liam,i'd bet my house that Quraqum does not get placed.
    Its the worst horse in the race




    Marty Hall

    ReplyDelete
  11. Quaraqun 2nd last

    ReplyDelete
  12. what won? hehehe I was on at 3s
    so next race guys what do u like
    I'm taking BREEDJ

    winner stays on

    that's right u where last

    best tipster here

    Liam

    ReplyDelete
  13. wow u tipped a second co to win.


    what a tipster/BUT BEAUTIFUL WAS 6TH


    M.H

    ReplyDelete
  14. SPECSAVERS FOR MH:
    1. 7 Faithful One (IRE) 8-7 T E Durcan D R Lanigan 3 11/4
    opened 3/1 touched 7/2 £1400-£400 (x2) £1050-£300 (x2)
    2 2 1 Count Of Anjou (USA) 8-12 R Hughes R Hannon 3 4/1
    opened 9/2 touched 5/1 £2000-£400
    3 1 1 Compton Park 8-12 William Buick W J Knight 3 20/1
    opened 16/1
    4 5 1 Zakiy 8-12 t1 J P Spencer W J Haggas 3 20/1
    opened 16/1
    5 3 ¾ Hatta Stream (IRE) 9-11 Simon Pearce (5) J Pearce 4 33/1
    opened 20/1
    6 10 2½ Robinson Cruso 8-12 P Robinson M A Jarvis 3 7/4 f
    opened 2/1 £1000-£500 (x2)
    7 12 4½ Khajaaly (IRE) 8-12 R Hills E A L Dunlop 3 9/1
    opened 15/2 touched 7/1
    8 14 nk Resolute Road 8-12 David Probert B W Hills 3 80/1
    opened 66/1
    9 13 1 Qaraqum (USA) 8-7 E Ahern D J Coakley 3 125/1
    opened 100/1
    10 9 1½ Serious Matters (IRE) 8-12 A Kirby W R Swinburn 3 50/1

    11 11 3½ But Beautiful (IRE) 8-7 S Donohoe R A Mills 3 50/1
    opened 40/1
    12 4 1 Vertumnus 8-12 J-P Guillambert N P Littmoden 3 100/1
    opened 66/1
    13 8 10 Faraday's Fancy (IRE) 9-6 T Block Miss A M Newton-Smith 4 250/1

    ReplyDelete
  15. 1. 7 Faithful One (IRE) 8-7 T E Durcan D R Lanigan 3 11/4
    opened 3/1 touched 7/2 £1400-£400 (x2) £1050-£300 (x2)
    2 2 1 Count Of Anjou (USA) 8-12 R Hughes R Hannon 3 4/1
    opened 9/2 touched 5/1 £2000-£400
    3 1 1 Compton Park 8-12 William Buick W J Knight 3 20/1
    opened 16/1
    4 5 1 Zakiy 8-12 t1 J P Spencer W J Haggas 3 20/1
    opened 16/1
    5 3 ¾ Hatta Stream (IRE) 9-11 Simon Pearce (5) J Pearce 4 33/1
    opened 20/1
    6 10 2½ Robinson Cruso 8-12 P Robinson M A Jarvis 3 7/4 f
    opened 2/1 £1000-£500 (x2)
    7 12 4½ Khajaaly (IRE) 8-12 R Hills E A L Dunlop 3 9/1
    opened 15/2 touched 7/1
    8 14 nk Resolute Road 8-12 David Probert B W Hills 3 80/1
    opened 66/1
    9 13 1 Qaraqum (USA) 8-7 E Ahern D J Coakley 3 125/1
    opened 100/1
    10 9 1½ Serious Matters (IRE) 8-12 A Kirby W R Swinburn 3 50/1

    11 11 3½ But Beautiful (IRE) 8-7 S Donohoe R A Mills 3 50/1
    opened 40/1
    12 4 1 Vertumnus 8-12 J-P Guillambert N P Littmoden 3 100/1
    opened 66/1
    13 8 10 Faraday's Fancy (IRE) 9-6 T Block Miss A M Newton-Smith 4 250/1

    should have went to specsavers MH

    ReplyDelete
  16. my 125/1 shot finished in front of your 40/1 flop

    Liam

    ReplyDelete
  17. Phoebs for me Liam

    Jack

    ReplyDelete
  18. well done Jack my boy what's your next tip my old mucker

    Liam

    ReplyDelete
  19. WENGER OUT




    BURNSY

    ReplyDelete
  20. PUNTERS GUIDE5 May 2010 at 11:52

    Mamlook today in the Chester Cup folks 9-1 for the in-form yard of David Pipe.

    ReplyDelete
  21. had 25 on G

    at 9s


    250 bk

    thanks

    ray

    ReplyDelete
  22. SPURS FOR 3RD

    Our quest continues




    YID

    ReplyDelete
  23. anything today PG?

    ray

    ReplyDelete
  24. South Easter in the big one at Chester today around 4s

    ReplyDelete
  25. ken dodds dads dog is dead

    ReplyDelete
  26. thats a bit ruff

    ReplyDelete
  27. Read your piece about Bent. Where did you get the 50s? Was it Grahams? Its just that ive 20quid e/w on him but only got 40s. The guy i use is a wee independent bookie and in fairness he would give you the best price available in the Racing Post but then again thats just the big boys isnt it?
    Fingers crossed for a hat-trick on sunday

    johnnyboy

    ReplyDelete

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