Friday, 14 August 2009

The PREMIERSHIP LOTTERY

WE are on the brink of another Premiership season and we at the PG are predicting one of the closest battles ever in Europe’s top league – and we think the top four could change this year.
Let’s start with the top of the table and we predict a five-horse race for top spot with moneybags Man City (12/1) coming into the equation this year after spending over £100 million on new players this summer.
IN have come Emmanuel Adebayor, Gareth Barry, Roque Santa Cruz, Stuart Taylor, Carlos Tevez, Kolo Toure and Nils Zander.
They will be in the mix no matter what, they have strength in depth and will be ready to compete with the Man Utds and Chelseas. I expect Mark Hughes’ team to be in the Champions League next season and the 12/1 on offer for league glory is a tempting bet and is worth a few pounds of my money.
The team to beat this year is of course Man Utd (2/1 fav) who lost Cristiano Ronaldo in the summer, but we have seen great players leave Old Trafford before and Utd bouncing back – a lot will rest on Wayne Rooney’s shoulders this year and if he can score 20-plus goals then Utd will be in the frame. In have come Gabriel Obertan, Michael Owen and Antonio Valencia.
Chelsea (10/3) have a new manager at the helm and have brought in three new players in Daniel Sturridge, Ross Turnbull and Yuri Zhirkov, but they still have the nucleus of a team that has done well in the Premiership in the past few season and under Carlo Ancelotti will be a difficult team to beat and will surely be thereabouts.
LIVERPOOL (3/1) put in their best Premiership season ever last season and many pundits feel that they are in with a big chance this year. They lost Xavi Alonso to Real Madrid and he will be a big miss, but they have brought in Roma midfielder Alberto Aquilani who looks a quality buy and defender Glen Johnson who will strengthen that defence. And if they can get a season out of Fernando Torres then Liverpool could break that Premiership hoodoo .
It’s frustrating being an ARSENAL (8/1) fan and after signing only Belgian defender Thomas Vermaelen so far this season the Gunners could be the team dropping out of the top four this year, specially after manager Arsene Wenger said that he will “trust” his current Arsenal squad to deliver ahead of the new season.
I don’t think this current squad is capable – they need experience and a couple of big money buys to compete this year. Hopefully I am wrong, but I wouldn’t rush out to back the Gunners at 8/1.
GOLDEN BOOT
The Golden Boot betting is led by Liverpool’s Fernando Torres at 7/2 and if he stays fit then he is a solid choice while WAYNE ROONEY (right) is tempting at 12s.
If strike partner MICHAEL OWEN stays injury-free then the 12/1 on offer looks a good each-way punt.
Chelsea supporters will lump on ANELKA at 12s and Drogba who is second favourite at 9/1.
Man City have an array of strikers and ADEYABYOR gets a 20/1 quote from Grahams with teammate SANTA CRUZ attracting a few pounds at 25/1.
I fancy Sunderland to have a better year this time round under Steve Bruce and DARREN BENT looks the each-way bet in this field at 40/1. Remember it’s 1-2-3-4 in this particular market and big money signing Bent will start all matches when fit and should score goals this season, so that’s 10/1 he will finish in the first four – fill your boots.
RELEGATION BATTLE
So who survives this season?
New boys Burnley are 4/9 to go down but if they play the football they did last year they could upset a few.
Our three to go down this season are HULL (5/6), PORSTMOUTH (9/4) and STOKE (3/1)

Real Bet at 5/1 for Champions League
ON to Europe and we start with the Champions League where big-spending REAL MADRID (9/2) look a solid choice if this team can gel from the begining.
EVERTON (16/1) can win the first ever Europa League – the Toffees will shock a lot of teams in Europe this year.
We have come up with an outright quad for the coming season and first team down are CELTIC (1/1) to reclaim their SPL title while JUVENTUS (3/1) could upset Inter in Serie A.
MARSEILLE (5/2) have spent a few pounds in the summer and should oust Bordeaux in the French Championnat.
Making the quad up are BARCELONA (1/1) to hold on to their La Liga title at the expense of Real Madrid.
The Ante-Post quad pays around 55/1 – worth a fiver?
Ask me next May.


GET ON MAN CITY AT 5/4 TO GUN DOWN BLACKBURN
We just missed out on our XXX last week after Inverness scored a 93rd minute winner to thwart our draw treble, but still a 10/1 winner.
We actually predicted five draws last week in all and four came in, so let’s hope the good start continues.
PG QUAD
We start with the weekend quad and first team down are big spending MAN CITY (5/4) who travel to Ewood Park to take on Blackburn who we feel may struggle a bit this year.
As we all know, Man City have bought big in the summer and should get off to a winning start on Saturday.
LEEDS UTD (1/1) got off to the best possible start with a win at home last week and can follow up with a win at promoted Wycombe.
DERBY (11/8) got off to a solid enough start last weekend, winning at home to Peterboro, and should make it two from two with a win at promoted Scunthorpe.
Making the weekend quad up are LEYTON ORIENT (11/10) who will hope to follow up on last weekend’s win at Bristol Rovers with all three points at home to Oldham.
PG XXX
After narrowly missing out last week let’s hope our draw treble can touch this weekend. They are all in the Premiership folks so mark Xs in the following games: Portsmouth v Fulham, Wolves v West Ham and BOLTON v SUNDERLAND.
Remember those doubles and the treble.

and finally weekend racing...

The Great St Wilfrid sprint at Ripon ( Saturday 3.55) is one of the big races this weekend and what a wide-open handicap this is.
Hamish McGonagall from the Tim Easterby yard gets a 16/1 quote for the race. He’s been knocking at the door in recent races and the 16/1 on offer for Saturday’s race looks a great each-way bet.
Over at Newbury we have the CGA Hungerford Stakes and I like the look of BORDER PATROL who can upset the big guns in this one. Stats are against him, though, with no three-year-old winner since 1998. But he has already won twice over course and distance this year and if he turns up on Saturday he could run a big race.

34 comments:

Anonymous said...

there is only one great bet out there...get on celtic to knock arsenal out of europe.Arsenal used to be a big team but are only a selling team now.I am sure arswhaven wonders why he joined them now!




hail hail

Anonymous said...

i really hope u dont blow ure wad on that silly bet....arsenal are a world class side and celtic are on there day at home a very good dogged hard to beat side...but away from home they will get murdered...with the exception of maybe boruc there is not one celtic player would get into arsenal 1st team..
just bet on celtic to beat aberdeen at the weekend...

a4e

Anonymous said...

just picked a bet with lads in work.
If you do it in sean grahams you get £151 more than the other 2 well known bookies in belfast


what a disgrace and fair play to sean grahams

Anonymous said...

Arsenal are a world class team


are you having a laugh...maybe 4 or 5 years ago yes...but now they are nothing more than average


hail hail

Punter's Guide said...

FRIDAY NIGHT NAG:
Jazacosta around 13/2

Anonymous said...

Well they made light work of the best team in scotland a few weeks ago....so they must b slightly above average....

celtic as a club are fantastic but as a footballing team they r piss poor....
just look at the calibre of players you can attract...ure buyin ure players off wba and coventry..hardly champs league material...
a4e

Anonymous said...

a4e arsenal are no world beaters.
They struggle in the league every year now for 4 years and have broke no delph in europe either.I personally think Celtic have a great chance against a team that sold its best striker and defender.




mo johnston

Anonymous said...

struggle in league????????dont think 4th by a good 10points in the most competitive league in the world is strugglin...now if celtic were in the premiership i believe they would struggle....
i think celtic will hold arsenal at best at parkhead then they will struggle to cope with arsenal at the emirates...

a4e

Anonymous said...

celtic should dispose of probably the poorest arsenal team in 10 years at celtic park.Arsenal should turn celtic over ast the emirates/...should be close





realist

Anonymous said...

realist 6-1 at Everton call that poor..

A Wenger

Anonymous said...

How many celtic players would get into the arsenal side?????

let me see??????


still thinking???

diddly-squat


A Wenger

by the way sitting here sweating on the Tiger stuck 150 on the nose in Grahams at 9-5
I see Ladbrokes have stopped paying out the bonus on soccer trebles
they are the worst bookies for soccer on our road by a long way

Anonymous said...

dont worry hail hail...id b quiet 2 if i was you....gotta love silencing critics...


a4e

Anonymous said...

any monday tips?

Anonymous said...

Gerard get off your hole and get some tips flying theres money to be had. :)

Anonymous said...

bring on the champions league----if all you arsenal supporters think celtic will sit off arsenal and let them play,you don't know your history,its enough to make your heart go ....



p.s...see tiger buckled under the pressure again


hail hail

Anonymous said...

Ca bhuil an tips mo chara?

Anonymous said...

celtic to win 3-1

Anonymous said...

come on the hoops,get into them over rated selling team tonight




hail hail

Anonymous said...

Tips blog with no tips......
Horseys racing who do I gamble on?............

Gerard, auder wheres these tips?

ps go on the hoops

Anonymous said...

2 days now no tips............

Anonymous said...

the hoops got 2 great results against the 2 best teams in the world,man u and barca.Nothing to fear with a weakened arsenal team who will struggle for 4th place this year in england




joe c.

Anonymous said...

oh dear lads....an over rated 'selling' side...just walked all over the hoops at home last nite....

an b4 the greetin starts i know the 1st goal was lucky and the 2nd was an og but still the fact remains that arsenal never had to get beyond 3rd gear and even with the tackles flyin in the midfield wee cesc just showed his world classness....i tried to tell u that celtic couldnt cope with us...

ps hope y'll didnt waste too much money bettin with ure heart....

in arsene we trust



a4e

Anonymous said...

A4E, 2 deflected goals


say no more

1st british team to win the european cup.
Come back to me when arsenal have won the european cup



hail hail

Anonymous said...

ah come on ure gonna go back to 1967...wow ure gettin desperate mate....

even ure captain gary 'sent off an score an og in 1 week' caldwell admitted we were better team...we played like the home team...

i hope u's win the europa this year....


a4e

Anonymous said...

spurs evens. notts co 6/4
4-1 double
fill yuor boots


johnnyboy

Unknown said...

ON HOLIDAY FOLKS
sorry for taking a week out..
Some York selections for Thursday
1.45 Rodrigo De Torres
2.15 Lady Of The Desert nap
3.25 Dar Re Mi
4.05 Fallen In Love

Thursday soccer nap: Villa to draw 12/5

Anonymous said...

TIP for captain brillance in the 3rd at York fill up at 10-1


T Tipster

Anonymous said...

missed the first one PG but did 10 double on next two
going to stick 50 on the last one and pocket a 100
best tipster around pg


Jimmy - citybus

Anonymous said...

had a score on last one Gerard at 11 to bloody 2 - missed the tips this week thank-god you switched your computer on

Big John

Punter's Guide said...

Friday Selections York:
1.45 Classic Vintage
2.15 Forgotten Voice NAP
2.50 Huntdown
Nunthorpe: Borderlescott e/w Captain Gerrard
4.05 Noble Geek
4.40 Mudawin

Good Luck!

Punter's Guide said...

WEEKEND QUAD:
SUNDERLAND 1/1
COVENTRY 1/1
DUNDEE UTD 13/10
CARDIFF 10/11


XXX:-
Hull v Bolton, Burnley v Everton
Birimingham v Stoke

Anonymous said...

backed your selection in big un 25 on - 250 back

going to bak your quad for 50

keep the winners coming

jimmy

Punter's Guide said...

few each-way selections:-
Proponent 20/1
Tony The Tap 14/1
Sat Double:
Buzzword and Alantis Star

good luck!

Anonymous said...

Useful question